I've been so upset about the Bush administration's war policy towards Iraq that I thought I should put my stake in the ground, state my fears, then re-examine them one, two, three years from now.
  1. The war will end swiftly, with 1000:1 Iraqi to US casualties
  2. The first few months of victory will be a proud time for the US, evidence of Hussein's brutality and thankful Iraqis.
  3. Bush will be reelected.
  4. After a year or so the other Arab nations will express great discomfort with continued US occupation of Iraq.
  5. Arab pressure will make the current Israel situation untenable.
  6. Within three years the majority of Iraqis will hate the US occupational government.
  2003-03-18 03:09 Z